Arthur Hayes didn’t pull punches in Dubai. At TOKEN2049, the ex-BitMEX chief laid out a straight-shot prediction: Bitcoin at $250K by the end of 2025.
WTF Arthur?! You good bruh?
Maybe it’s been Arthur who has been a /biz/ and Reddit mod all these years, trying to hype our bags.
Arthur says we’ll see a run-up because of a cocktail of Fed backpedaling, liquidity overflow, and global economic instability—all of which, Hayes says, will light a fire under crypto’s next bull run.
Arthur Hayes: The Federal Reserve and Bitcoin’s Bright Future
Hayes’ $250K call hinges on a familiar lever: the Fed turning the QE taps back on.
If bond-buying resumes to cushion markets, liquidity floods the system—and in Hayes’ view, Bitcoin feeds directly off that stream.
“Bitcoin trades solely based on the market expectation for the future supply of fiat,” he said, spelling it out without apology.
(Medium)
Hayes also pointed to recent policy adjustments, such as the Fed reducing its Treasury runoff cap, as initial steps signaling a shift toward easing.
“If my analysis of the Fed’s major pivot from QT to QE for treasuries is correct, then Bitcoin hit a local low of $76,500 last month, and now we begin the ascent to $250,000 by year-end,” he added.
Treasury Buybacks and Hidden Liquidity
QE isn’t the only liquidity lever, Hayes warned. Treasury buybacks—swapping fresh debt for old, stale bonds—are back in fashion as well.
It’s liquidity injection without the political baggage of “stimulus.” Hayes called it a stealth move that quietly props up risk assets like Bitcoin by keeping hedge funds flush.
Add to that the rising U.S. deficit, slumping tax revenue, and political gridlock—and the pressure to keep markets greased is only mounting.
(Medium)
Hayes pointed to April 2, when Trump’s tariff bluster pushed the MOVE Index to 172—levels that forced intervention in 2022. The message is that we’ve been here before, and the response may look eerily familiar.
Arthur Hayes Bold Predictions for 2025
Hayes’ forecast of $250,000 for Bitcoin hinges on this macroeconomic backdrop of liquidity injections and monetary policy shifts. He has closely observed Bitcoin’s past reactions to similar conditions and is confident of its upside potential.
Beyond Bitcoin, Hayes is optimistic about Ethereum and other major cryptocurrencies benefiting from increased capital inflow.
“Now is the time to accumulate Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other crypto assets,” he told audiences at TOKEN2049, urging bold action in a climate ripe for growth.
Ending his speech, Hayes left audiences with a clear directive: “Take out your phones and buy Bitcoin. You could become rich.”
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Key Takeaways
- Arthur Hayes didn’t pull punches in Dubai. At TOKEN2049, the ex-BitMEX chief laid out a straight-shot prediction: Bitcoin at $250K by the end of 2025.
- Hayes pointed to April 2, when Trump’s tariff bluster pushed the MOVE Index to 172—levels that forced intervention in 2022
The post Arthur Hayes Predicts The Perfect Rally For Bitcoin Price In 2025 appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
